Orotava vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
LPA
2 - 0
UDO
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
UDO
1 - 1
SDT
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
RAF
2 - 4
UDO
21%
28%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
UDO
3 - 1
ATL
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
VTZ
1 - 1
UDO
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
VEC
1 - 5
COR
14%
24%
62%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 5
VEC
25%
26%
49%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
VEC
0 - 1
LAN
52%
27%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
VEC
0 - 0
LPA
24%
30%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
SDT
6 - 1
VEC
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |