Orotava vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 2
UDO
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
UDO
3 - 1
REA
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VEC
3 - 1
UDO
33%
28%
38%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
UDO
0 - 0
MAS
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
OLI
1 - 1
UDO
18%
27%
55%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
UDI
1 - 2
CAS
24%
27%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
COR
4 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
UDI
0 - 1
TEL
30%
30%
40%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
LPA
5 - 1
UDI
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
UDI
1 - 0
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |