Aral Nukus vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
22
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 2
FKA
85%
9%
6%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 0
ORO
2%
6%
92%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ORO
0 - 3
GIJ
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
FKY
3 - 0
ORO
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
XOR
1 - 2
FKL
20%
25%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
XOR
6%
13%
81%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
XOR
1 - 0
PFK
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 10 | 45 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
URF
1 - 0
XOR
4%
12%
84%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
XOR
2 - 2
BUX
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |