Aral Nukus vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKY
9 - 0
ORO
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ORO
2 - 1
FKZ
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BUX
5 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ORO
1 - 0
SHO
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAS
7 - 0
ORO
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
MAS
35%
25%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
GIJ
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AND
2 - 1
SHO
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PAK
5 - 0
SHO
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ORO
1 - 0
SHO
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |