Aral Nukus vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ORO
7%
11%
82%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
IFE
3 - 0
ORO
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
ORO
1 - 3
XOR
47%
22%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ORO
0 - 4
TER
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ORO
3 - 0
SHO
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MAS
3 - 1
SHO
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SHO
1 - 2
DSA
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
FKT
2 - 0
SHO
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
NEF
1 - 0
SHO
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DSA
1 - 4
SHO
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |