Aral Nukus vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
ORO
2 - 1
NBU
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
ORO
4 - 0
SHA
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MEH
2 - 4
ORO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
RFS
1 - 1
ORO
32%
24%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BUN
3 - 0
ORO
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SHO
0 - 0
QIZ
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
QIZ
0 - 1
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
NEF
3 - 0
QIZ
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
QIZ
1 - 2
BUN
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
MAS
6 - 1
QIZ
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |