Aral Nukus vs Lokomotiv BFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
HOT
6 - 0
ORO
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
FKK
2 - 1
ORO
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ORO
2 - 3
DSA
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
ORO
5 - 2
FKZ
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
NAS
1 - 0
ORO
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv BFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 2
NAR
32%
25%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 1
UDJ
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SEM
5 - 1
LOK
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
YOZ
1 - 0
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LOK
8 - 1
GIJ
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |