Ørn Horten vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
SKE
2 - 0
ORN
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
ORN
2 - 3
FFK
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ORN
4 - 0
STR
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SDF
1 - 5
ORN
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ORN
0 - 0
RAN
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
SDF
1 - 0
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1950 |
SKE
0 - 4
SPA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
MJO
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
SPA
1 - 1
RAN
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
FFK
1 - 1
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |