Ørn Horten vs Sarpsborg FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2006 |
1 - 1
ORN
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ORN
0 - 4
NOT
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
ODD
5 - 1
ORN
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ORN
1 - 5
KVI
43%
24%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MFC
4 - 2
ORN
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SAR
1 - 3
ARD
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
3 - 2
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
SAR
0 - 2
VAL
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GBK
4 - 2
SAR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 0
SJE
61%
20%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |