Ørn Horten vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
STR
1 - 4
ORN
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ORN
1 - 1
IFL
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
FFK
0 - 3
ORN
27%
23%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ORN
1 - 2
ULL
16%
18%
67%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ORN
1 - 2
FKT
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
KRA
1 - 3
SAR
26%
21%
54%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 3
MJO
71%
15%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
0 - 4
SAR
30%
20%
51%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
SPJ
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 0
SAR
20%
17%
63%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |