Ørn Horten vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
HIF
2 - 4
ORN
14%
19%
68%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ORN
3 - 0
IFR
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
FKT
2 - 2
ORN
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ORN
0 - 0
ULL
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 2
ORN
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
IFR
1 - 2
FOL
33%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 2
ULL
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
MJO
1 - 2
FOL
24%
21%
56%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 2
LOK
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
HIF
0 - 2
FOL
43%
21%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |