Ørn Horten vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
13º
13º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 0
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
0 - 3
MJO
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
JER
1 - 0
ORN
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ORN
4 - 0
AFK
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 2
ORN
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 3
BRA
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIK
36%
22%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
VIK
37%
21%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LYS
5 - 3
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
STR
55%
20%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |