Ormiston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
53.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ormiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LOT
8 - 0
ORM
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 1
ORM
89%
7%
3%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EYE
1 - 0
ORM
47%
21%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ORM
1 - 2
COL
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ORM
0 - 6
TYN
17%
17%
66%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
5 - 1
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 2
HER
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HER
4 - 2
STI
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
EYE
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
COL
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |