Ormiston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
48.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ormiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LOT
2 - 1
ORM
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ORM
5 - 3
SPA
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ORM
5 - 6
TYN
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 4
ORM
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 2
ORM
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
COL
5 - 3
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
DUN
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 1
HER
24%
21%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
HER
4 - 4
PEE
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
LEI
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |