Ormideia vs APEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
3º
1º
25
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ormideia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APO
2 - 4
ORM
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
ENT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
ORM
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ELI
1 - 4
ORM
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
KOU
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APE
0 - 2
KOU
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
APE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
APE
6 - 1
ELI
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
APE
3 - 1
APO
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ENT
0 - 1
APE
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |