Orléans U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
11º
8º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orléans U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ORL
4 - 0
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 2
ORL
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 0
RAP
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
ORL
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 0
HAV
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 2
CAE
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LEN
31%
25%
45%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 3
CAE
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |