Orléans II vs US Cosne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
3º
43
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIE
3 - 1
ORL
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 0
CSL
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 2
ORL
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
0 - 2
SBM
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
US Cosne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSL
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
UNI
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 4
SBM
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 3
ROM
22%
23%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |