Orkla vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
13º
13º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 1
ORK
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ORK
1 - 3
SUR
88%
8%
5%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 2
STA
37%
20%
43%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 3
ORK
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ORK
1 - 0
TIL
40%
21%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
SUR
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 4
LIL
70%
16%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 1
TIL
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 4
LIL
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
STR
11%
14%
75%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |