Orizaba vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
QRO
1 - 0
ORI
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ORI
0 - 0
REB
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
LEO
3 - 1
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
ORI
0 - 0
LEO
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
SNL
1 - 1
ORI
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
ZAC
1 - 1
DUR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LEO
0 - 0
ZAC
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
0 - 2
DUR
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DOR
3 - 0
ZAC
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 2
ACA
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |