Orizaba vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 0
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 3
NEC
16%
26%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 0
ORI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
UAT
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
LEO
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PUM
0 - 0
UDG
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 2
UDG
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |