Orizaba vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 1
ORI
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 2
UAP
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 0
TAM
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 1
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 1
VER
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ZAC
0 - 0
IPC
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TUT
6 - 0
ZAC
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ZAC
4 - 1
PAT
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RCU
2 - 1
ZAC
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |