Orizaba vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 0
ORI
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 3
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
LEO
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MZA
1 - 1
ORI
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 2
PUM
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AME
1 - 4
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REB
2 - 4
TOL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
HAL
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |