Orizaba vs Tigrillos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
DUR
0 - 3
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
DOR
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 0
ORI
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ORI
2 - 0
LEO
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
TRO
0 - 1
ORI
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tigrillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
COB
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 1
TIG
41%
25%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 0
TIG
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
ZAC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |