Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Orizaba vs Tampico Madero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
TAM
0 - 1
ORI
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 1
ORI
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ORI
3 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
REB
3 - 0
ORI
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 1
QRO
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tampico Madero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
TAM
0 - 1
ORI
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
0 - 1
TAM
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 0
UDG
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
TEC
2 - 1
TAM
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TAM
4 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |