Orizaba vs Tuxtla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 2
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 2
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 3
TAM
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 0
ORI
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 1
IND
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
JAG
2 - 2
PUM
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
SAG
0 - 2
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
JAG
0 - 1
UAT
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
JAG
1 - 2
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |