Orizaba vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
IRA
3 - 2
ORI
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
REY
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
REY
1 - 2
ORI
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 2
ORI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 0
OUN
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
IRA
3 - 2
ORI
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 5
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 1
TEM
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IRA
5 - 4
TEP
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
IRA
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |