Orizaba vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
DOR
3 - 1
ORI
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 0
ACA
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 0
ORI
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
ORI
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 0
MEX
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
DUR
0 - 2
COB
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MEX
0 - 0
DUR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 2
MER
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
DUR
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
0 - 2
DUR
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |