Orizaba vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATC
1 - 0
ORI
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 1
ACH
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
IAC
3 - 0
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 1
PDC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
UAP
2 - 1
ORI
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
4 - 0
VER
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
OUN
0 - 0
CAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 0
RCU
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
IPC
1 - 1
CAZ
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TUT
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |