Orizaba vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 4
TIJ
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
UAT
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
REB
2 - 0
ORI
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
UAT
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LEO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |