Orizaba vs Cobras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MEX
4 - 1
ORI
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 0
UDG
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 2
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TOR
3 - 2
ORI
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
ORI
1 - 2
ZAP
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cobras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
COB
1 - 3
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
COB
1 - 0
JAG
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
COB
2 - 0
MEX
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
COB
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
TOR
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |