Orizaba vs Atl. Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
IAC
3 - 0
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 1
PDC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
UAP
2 - 1
ORI
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
TOR
24%
30%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 0
TIA
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 3
VER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OUN
3 - 1
ACH
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
5 - 0
RCU
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IPC
2 - 2
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 0
TUT
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |