Orión FC vs Cartagena AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orión FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
JAC
3 - 0
ORI
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
ADC
3 - 1
ORI
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 7
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 1
ORI
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 4
SCN
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cartagena AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
JAC
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
ADC
3 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SCN
2 - 2
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |