Orillamar SD vs Sporting Sada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ORT
2 - 2
ORI
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ORI
4 - 0
BRE
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
EUM
2 - 1
ORI
15%
20%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 0
QUE
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
ORI
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Sada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
EST
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SDC
1 - 1
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
CED
24%
24%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 2
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 2
MIN
9%
18%
73%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |