HNK Orijent Rijeka vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
6º
44
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUB
5 - 0
ORI
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 1
ORI
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
4 - 0
ORI
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 2
RUD
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 2
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 4
VUK
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
3 - 0
NKJ
61%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 0
NKJ
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 0
KUS
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 1
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |