HNK Orijent Rijeka vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
10º
3º
46
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ZRI
1 - 3
ORI
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ORI
1 - 1
NKD
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORI
0 - 1
VUK
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
NKJ
1 - 2
ORI
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ORI
3 - 2
BIJ
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZMI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HNK
1 - 0
ZRI
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HNK
0 - 1
OPA
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DUB
1 - 0
HNK
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ZMI
2 - 1
HNK
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |