HNK Orijent Rijeka vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
10º
3º
46
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 1
ORI
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 2
ZRI
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
NKR
3 - 3
ORI
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ZMI
1 - 1
ORI
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
ORI
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
VUK
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 2
HNK
52%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
BIJ
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
HNK
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 1
HNK
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |