Orihuela CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
ORI
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ALZ
2 - 2
ORI
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 1
SAG
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 2
ORI
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRE
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALZ
4 - 3
NOV
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |