Orihuela CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
ORI
0 - 0
PAL
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
CAL
1 - 5
ORI
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ORI
5 - 1
RPA
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LOR
4 - 2
ORI
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ORI
7 - 1
MAZ
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
HER
3 - 0
LLE
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
AGD
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |