Oriente Petrolero vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
60.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 2
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 0
OPE
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 2
SAC
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
OPE
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
BLO
1 - 2
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
FLU
23%
28%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLU
15%
26%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLU
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |