Oriente Petrolero vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
BLO
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
UCH
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
REA
3 - 2
OPE
24%
26%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 2
OPE
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
HUI
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 2
SFE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HUI
3 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 2
AGU
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |