Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Örgryte vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ZAL
1 - 1
ORG
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
OIF
1 - 2
ORG
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
GIF
0 - 1
ORG
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ORG
0 - 1
HIF
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
GÖT
5 - 2
ORG
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ZAL
1 - 1
ORG
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
VET
1 - 1
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAL
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FKE
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 0
ZAL
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |