Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
5º
2º
13
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 53 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 45 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 44 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 41 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 39 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 39 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 20 |
15º
|
59.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
UME
3 - 3
ORG
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ORG
4 - 0
SAN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ORG
5 - 1
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
ORG
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ORG
4 - 2
FAL
43%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trelleborgs FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FAL
4 - 0
TRE
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TRE
5 - 0
VAS
28%
27%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 0
TRE
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
ORE
0 - 0
TRE
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |