Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
16º
14º
39
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORG
2 - 2
UTS
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 1
ORG
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ORG
1 - 4
GAI
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JON
2 - 1
ORG
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
ORG
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Trelleborgs FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 6
GAI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
3 - 0
TRE
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
JON
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UTS
2 - 3
TRE
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IKB
1 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |