Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
5º
3º
13
8º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 63 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 53 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 50 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 46 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 45 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 41 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 36 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 35 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 20 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 19 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 3
ORG
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
IKB
3 - 2
ORG
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ORG
2 - 0
TRE
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
UME
3 - 3
ORG
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ORG
4 - 0
SAN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FAL
2 - 2
HEL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 0
OST
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 2
IKO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
LAN
3 - 3
HEL
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |