Örgryte vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
16º
5º
32
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ORG
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 2
TRE
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEG
4 - 1
ORG
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
ORG
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ORG
0 - 1
HEL
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GEF
3 - 1
ORE
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
OST
4 - 3
GEF
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
GEF
1 - 0
GIF
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 0
SKO
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OIF
0 - 0
GEF
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |