Örgryte vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
AIK
2 - 1
ORG
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
ORG
1 - 2
MFF
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
GAI
2 - 0
ORG
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
GIF
3 - 2
ORG
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
ORG
0 - 0
DJU
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
GEF
0 - 4
HÄC
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
GEF
2 - 2
KAL
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
AIK
2 - 2
GEF
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 3
GEF
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GEF
2 - 1
MFF
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |