Örgryte vs Degerfors IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
16º
5º
55
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ORG
6%
15%
79%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OIF
1 - 0
ORG
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ORG
3 - 1
ORE
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 2
ORG
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ORG
4 - 2
IKO
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
NYK
1 - 4
DEG
11%
17%
73%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DEG
1 - 1
IKB
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 1
DEG
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DEG
2 - 2
IKO
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DEG
2 - 0
SKO
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |