UCL 1/16
Global 3-7
Örgryte vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
DJU
3 - 4
ORG
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ORG
0 - 0
ELF
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1986 |
GÖT
4 - 1
ORG
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ORG
1 - 1
AIK
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
NOR
1 - 0
ORG
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
BFC
8 - 1
FCU
85%
10%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
BSG
0 - 2
BFC
14%
20%
66%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
BFC
0 - 0
SGD
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
ERF
2 - 2
BFC
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
BFC
4 - 1
FVF
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |