Orgiva vs Fuente Vaqueros 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ORG
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORG
1 - 6
PMO
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 2
ORG
35%
23%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ORG
4 - 0
CFL
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAP
1 - 1
ORG
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
3 - 2
DGU
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
0 - 2
CAS
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PMO
5 - 0
FVA
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FVA
1 - 0
BEN
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CFL
4 - 1
FVA
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |