CF Orgaceño vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOC
2 - 2
ORG
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ORG
2 - 2
MOR
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
ORG
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOB
1 - 0
ORG
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ORG
0 - 1
TOL
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAL
4 - 1
CDE
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HAL
2 - 0
MOC
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 1
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
HAL
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HAL
3 - 0
NOB
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |